Skip to content
Qual 342025 Chesapeake Robotics Icebreaker
Red99
99922.0
164039.7
463828.3
Blue66
623914.9
138911.5
907253.0
41%Model gave it59%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79970501502002509966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
32Coral points14
41Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
40Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
14Foul points6
99Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#6Sur
39.71.3
39.1→40.3
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
blue by 13.3
9072
#11Sur
53.01.7
55.1→53.5
Auto11.5
Teleop39.7
End1.8
Second
4638
#22Sur
28.31.3
26.7→28.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 13.4
6239
#31
14.91.7
16.5→14.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
9992
#28Sur
2.02.2
-0.2→2.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.7
End-0.8
blue by 9.6
1389
#21Sur
11.51.7
13.2→11.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed