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Red135
219946.2
61432.4
126233.6
Blue82
859254.2
903327.1
237720.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811105010015020013582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
112Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#4
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +53
8Foul points0
135Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#13
46.20.4
44.945.3
Auto9.8
Teleop28.2
End8.1
blue by 8.0
54.20.5
54.754.2
Auto13.0
Teleop36.2
End4.9
Second
1262
#16
33.60.4
32.232.6
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
red by 6.4
9033
#17
27.10.5
27.627.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Third
614
#15
32.40.4
31.031.5
Auto7.4
Teleop24.0
End1.0
red by 12.1
2377
#29
20.30.5
20.820.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2