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Red116
82307.6
88841.7
164039.7
Blue128
463828.3
188529.5
189524.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108109406080100120140160116128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
89Total teleop101
Reef
5L4#9
7L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Penalties & totalBlue +12
2Foul points6
116Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
41.70.1
42.342.2
Auto11.7
Teleop29.4
End0.5
red by 12.2
1885
#18
29.50.1
29.229.3
Auto2.0
Teleop26.4
End1.1
Second
39.70.1
40.340.3
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
red by 11.4
4638
#22
28.30.1
28.028.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
8230
#20
7.60.1
8.28.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.1
End5.6
blue by 17.1
24.70.1
24.424.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7