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Red168
42265.1
68648.0
554923.1
Blue132
159923.5
44941.0
907253.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155129050100200250168132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+38Teleop
+40Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points14
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
20Coral scored#19
73Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
97Total teleop87
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +36
4Foul points8
168Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
65.10.7
64.064.7
Auto18.4
Teleop39.1
End7.6
red by 12.1
9072
#11
53.00.1
53.553.6
Auto11.5
Teleop39.7
End1.8
Second
686
#2
48.00.7
46.947.6
Auto7.8
Teleop34.4
End5.9
red by 7.1
449
#23
41.00.1
41.441.6
Auto7.0
Teleop27.9
End6.1
Third
5549
#14
23.10.7
21.922.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 0.4
1599
#25
23.50.1
23.924.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End4.2