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Red151
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
Blue93
237720.3
859254.2
533840.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112805010015020025030015193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+40Endgame
+58Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
76Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +58
18Foul points0
151Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#8
58.50.4
55.756.1
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
red by 4.3
54.20.6
55.354.7
Auto13.0
Teleop36.2
End4.9
Second
116
#5
47.20.4
44.444.8
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 6.3
5338
#12
40.90.6
41.540.9
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End0.5
Third
2186
#19
17.30.4
14.514.9
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
blue by 3.0
2377
#29
20.30.6
21.420.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2