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Red98
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
Blue78
82307.6
88841.7
164039.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128920501502009878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points14
98Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#8
58.50.8
56.455.6
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
red by 16.9
888
#4
41.70.6
42.341.7
Auto11.7
Teleop29.4
End0.5
Second
116
#5
47.20.8
45.144.2
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 7.5
39.70.6
40.339.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
Third
2186
#19
17.30.8
15.214.4
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 9.8
8230
#20
7.60.6
8.27.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.1
End5.6