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Red110
463828.3
188529.5
189524.7
Blue151
219946.2
61432.4
126233.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101142050200250300110151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +24
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
93Total teleop117
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#10
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
110Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#18
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto2.0
Teleop26.4
End1.1
blue by 16.7
2199
#13
46.20.5
45.345.8
Auto9.8
Teleop28.2
End8.1
Second
4638
#22
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
blue by 5.3
1262
#16
33.60.5
32.633.1
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Third
24.70.2
24.524.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
blue by 7.7
614
#15
32.40.5
31.532.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.0
End1.0