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Red159
173162.6
583022.5
210661.9
Blue128
42265.1
68648.0
554923.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157154100120140180200159128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +20
21Coral scored#15
77Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
99Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#4
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +31
4Foul points0
159Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.60.3
61.261.4
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
blue by 2.5
422
#10
65.10.2
65.965.6
Auto18.4
Teleop39.1
End7.6
Second
61.90.3
60.460.7
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
red by 13.8
686
#2
48.00.2
48.848.6
Auto7.8
Teleop34.4
End5.9
Third
5830
#26
22.50.3
21.121.3
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 0.5
5549
#14
23.10.2
23.823.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2