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Qual 192025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red70
968414.7
68638.3
62313.1
Blue88
83645.3
554925.4
371420.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77610501001502007088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
49Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
70Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#14
38.30.3
31.5→31.2
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
blue by 7.0
836
#5
45.31.9
31.4→33.2
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
9684
#37
14.70.5
13.9→13.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
blue by 10.7
5549
#21
25.41.9
11.3→13.1
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Third
623
#38
13.10.3
20.1→19.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 7.0
3714
#22
20.01.9
11.3→13.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed