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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698440601001201405889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+41
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points29
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +21
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
25Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
58Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#23
28.20.6
30.029.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
blue by 14.7
5338
#19
42.90.8
37.638.3
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
2186
#17
19.80.6
15.214.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
blue by 22.0
41.80.8
29.330.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
Third
6326
#36
19.60.6
21.520.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 8.5
11.20.8
10.411.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned