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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65744060801001209169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
52Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points0
91Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.8
33.634.4
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
blue by 5.0
9072
#15
45.90.1
46.246.0
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
Second
4472
#16
17.70.8
14.215.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 2.9
612
#11
20.60.1
13.112.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Third
5587
#33
11.30.8
13.214.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
red by 3.7
2988
#32
7.50.1
6.36.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned