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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69400501001508054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
9Coral scored#2
34Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
52Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points30
80Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#6
37.31.3
27.628.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 14.4
3793
#24
22.91.0
19.418.3
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Second
24.71.3
23.224.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
red by 13.5
5587
#33
11.31.0
14.013.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Third
2963
#13
16.71.3
9.110.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
red by 9.2
2988
#32
7.51.0
6.25.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned