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Qual 222025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red128
219950.9
533842.9
62051.7
Blue107
374840.9
907245.9
141841.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611880100140160180200128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
75Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
4Foul points2
128Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.70.4
39.8→40.2
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 5.8
9072
#15
45.90.4
46.0→45.7
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
Second
2199
#1
50.90.4
39.9→40.3
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 9.1
1418
#4
41.80.4
30.1→29.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
Third
5338
#19
42.90.4
38.3→38.7
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
red by 2.0
3748
#3
40.90.4
34.4→34.0
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsMissed