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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64450208010012014016010448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
56Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
26Foul points2
104Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9033
#12
30.51.4
21.923.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
red by 3.0
611
#9
27.50.2
16.516.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
6326
#36
19.61.4
20.922.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 0.4
3714
#22
20.00.2
13.213.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
1446
#27
16.31.4
13.615.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
red by 1.6
9684
#37
14.70.3
13.413.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed