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Qual 242025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red15
62313.1
206811.9
138928.2
Blue51
1044911.2
83645.3
940319.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7076204060801001551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +40
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
15Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#23
28.23.3
29.5→26.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
blue by 17.1
836
#5
45.31.1
33.2→32.1
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
623
#38
13.13.3
19.8→16.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 6.0
9403
#18
19.11.1
23.1→22.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
2068
#29
11.93.3
13.7→10.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
red by 0.7
10449
#25
11.21.1
11.2→10.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed