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Qual 302025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red95
190834.2
138928.2
83645.3
Blue127
296316.7
68638.3
253442.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88905060708010011012013095127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
66Total teleop83
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points8
95Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#5
45.30.4
32.1→32.5
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 2.6
2534
#10
42.71.9
40.9→42.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End2.7
Second
1908
#20
34.20.4
25.9→26.3
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 4.1
686
#14
38.31.9
32.8→34.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
Third
1389
#23
28.20.4
26.1→26.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
red by 11.5
2963
#13
16.71.9
10.4→12.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed