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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4177020601001201402869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+57
Endgame+59
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +50
0Coral scored#11
0Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop50
Reef
0L4#6
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
18Foul points0
28Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.3
15.913.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
blue by 13.4
122
#6
37.30.1
28.928.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Second
2186
#17
19.82.3
14.412.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
blue by 14.5
34.30.1
27.527.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Third
6882
#26
11.22.3
14.512.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 9.4
612
#11
20.60.1
14.514.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed