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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4386020601001201401605294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
29Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points8
52Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9033
#12
30.50.5
23.323.9
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
blue by 20.4
50.90.7
40.341.0
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
Second
4464
#28
11.60.5
10.711.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 8.5
3714
#22
20.00.7
13.414.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
11.20.5
10.110.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 7.9
9403
#18
19.10.7
22.022.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned