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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307902040601001201405397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
37Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
53Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#35
25.41.0
14.615.6
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
blue by 26.3
620
#2
51.71.8
40.242.0
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
Second
1446
#27
16.31.0
15.016.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
red by 1.6
9684
#37
14.73.0
13.816.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Third
2988
#32
7.51.0
5.16.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
blue by 3.7
5587
#33
11.31.8
13.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed