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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11449010015010429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
15Coral scored#3
54Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
72Total teleop14
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
104Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.0
41.042.0
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 33.2
4472
#16
17.70.9
14.813.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Second
1885
#34
27.21.0
23.624.6
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 14.1
623
#38
13.10.9
16.415.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
24.71.0
24.525.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
red by 13.2
4464
#28
11.60.9
11.210.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed