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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4546354050553734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
14Total teleop19
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
37Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#11
20.60.8
14.413.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 1.9
2421
#31
22.50.7
26.025.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Second
9684
#37
14.71.4
16.815.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
blue by 5.1
2186
#17
19.80.7
12.011.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
Third
6882
#26
11.20.8
12.211.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
red by 3.7
2988
#32
7.50.7
6.25.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed