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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7478204060100120140107107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
84Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
107Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#5
45.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 3.6
41.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
Second
9033
#12
30.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
red by 2.3
1389
#23
28.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Third
2914
#35
25.4
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
red by 9.2
1446
#27
16.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned