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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10840050150143125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+4
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
89Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#29
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
143Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.72.7
42.044.8
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 24.2
611
#9
27.54.5
17.021.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
40.92.7
35.237.9
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 15.5
5549
#21
25.44.5
16.320.9
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Third
23.92.7
13.616.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
red by 7.2
2963
#13
16.74.5
12.316.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned5%Barge oddsMissed