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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73105204060801201401603938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
16Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points6
39Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#14
38.32.5
34.732.2
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
blue by 7.6
9072
#15
45.93.7
47.744.0
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
Second
9403
#18
19.12.5
22.720.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 8.1
1885
#34
27.23.7
24.620.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Third
2068
#29
11.92.5
10.68.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 1.2
623
#38
13.13.7
15.511.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed