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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739540608012014016010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
78Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points6
100Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.32.2
27.329.5
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
blue by 8.5
5338
#19
42.90.0
39.939.9
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
1908
#20
34.22.2
26.328.4
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 9.5
24.70.0
25.525.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
Third
3714
#22
20.02.2
14.116.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 2.9
3793
#24
22.90.0
20.420.4
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed