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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48100015052106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+36
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points18
52Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#36
19.60.1
22.622.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 23.1
2534
#10
42.70.2
42.842.6
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End2.7
Second
4472
#16
17.70.1
13.913.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 19.6
122
#6
37.30.2
28.828.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Third
11.20.1
10.610.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 0.1
5587
#33
11.30.2
14.814.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned