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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801001205269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
52Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#9
27.50.4
16.315.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
blue by 6.7
1908
#20
34.21.0
22.423.4
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
623
#38
13.10.4
22.021.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 10.8
23.91.1
12.813.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
Third
5587
#33
11.30.4
13.613.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 0.6
2068
#29
11.91.0
11.612.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed