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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4784020601001201401603759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
22Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
37Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
22.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
blue by 16.2
40.91.1
36.335.2
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Second
3714
#22
20.00.9
12.211.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 0.9
9403
#18
19.11.1
21.720.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
6882
#26
11.20.8
14.713.9
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 3.5
9684
#37DQ
14.71.3
14.715.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed