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Qual 402025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red113
188527.2
141841.8
68638.3
Blue134
61127.5
83645.3
374840.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921026080120140113134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
25Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
68Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#8
8L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
113Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#4
41.81.5
31.8→33.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
blue by 3.6
836
#5
45.32.8
32.5→35.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
686
#14
38.31.5
32.2→33.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
blue by 2.5
3748
#3
40.92.8
37.9→40.7
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Third
1885
#34
27.21.5
20.9→22.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
blue by 0.3
611
#9
27.52.8
21.5→24.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned