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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91770501502009384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
64Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points0
93Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#15
45.90.2
44.044.2
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
red by 3.1
5338
#19
42.90.7
39.940.6
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
34.30.2
29.529.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
red by 14.3
3714
#22
20.00.7
16.217.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
4464
#28
11.60.2
10.310.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 5.1
2963
#13
16.70.7
16.917.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed