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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966805015087105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
61Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#2
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points4
87Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#19
42.90.1
40.640.5
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
blue by 8.0
50.92.1
42.144.2
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
Second
686
#14
38.30.1
33.733.6
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
red by 12.9
2914
#35
25.42.1
16.218.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Third
5587
#33
11.30.1
14.514.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
red by 0.1
6882
#26
11.22.1
11.413.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned