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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60732040801008957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points29
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
52Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
89Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#6
37.31.7
28.630.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 6.8
9033
#12
30.50.5
23.923.4
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
Second
3793
#24
22.91.7
20.422.1
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
blue by 5.3
1389
#23
28.20.5
26.526.0
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Third
2068
#29
11.91.7
8.29.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 5.8
4472
#16
17.70.5
13.913.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed