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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8253020401001201401605981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
33Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
59Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
25.524.6
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
blue by 9.5
1908
#20
34.21.9
28.430.3
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
2421
#31
22.51.0
25.324.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
red by 1.9
612
#11
20.61.9
13.515.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Third
6326
#36
19.61.0
22.621.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 8.5
11.21.9
10.612.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned