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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68870204060801001201407295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
44Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points12
72Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#34
27.20.4
22.322.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
blue by 13.7
40.90.2
40.740.9
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Second
2421
#31
22.50.4
24.324.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 2.2
24.70.2
24.624.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
Third
3714
#22
20.00.4
17.017.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 0.3
2186
#17
19.80.2
11.812.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned