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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9254020408010012014016013068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
68Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points6
130Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.73.0
43.446.4
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 17.4
34.30.6
29.730.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Second
122
#6
37.33.0
30.333.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 24.2
623
#38
13.10.6
10.411.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
2988
#32
7.53.0
5.68.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
blue by 3.6
11.20.6
12.513.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed