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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8567204060100120140160119127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points58
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
86Total teleop98
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
119Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#20
34.22.7
30.333.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 11.1
836
#5
45.34.0
35.339.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
9033
#12
30.52.7
23.426.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
red by 9.9
612
#11
20.64.0
15.419.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Third
5549
#21
25.42.7
21.524.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 7.7
4472
#16
17.74.0
13.417.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned