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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6787204060801001201406160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
35Total teleop22
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points18
61Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#23
28.20.2
26.025.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
blue by 17.7
9072
#15
45.92.5
44.241.7
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
Second
3793
#24
22.90.2
22.121.9
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
red by 3.3
6326
#36
19.62.5
21.619.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
Third
9684
#37
14.70.4
16.416.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
red by 3.4
5587
#33
11.32.5
14.411.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned