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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6774405060809010011082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
19Total auto13
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points30
82Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.1
34.835.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
red by 4.4
122
#6
37.30.4
33.333.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Second
612
#11
20.61.1
19.420.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 6.9
611
#9
27.50.4
25.425.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
623
#38
13.11.1
11.112.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
red by 1.5
4464
#28
11.60.4
12.012.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned