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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63750204010012014081102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
55Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
81Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#23
28.20.3
25.826.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
blue by 6.1
34.31.1
30.331.4
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Second
5549
#21
25.40.3
24.224.5
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
blue by 5.2
9033
#12
30.51.1
26.127.2
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
Third
5587
#33
11.30.3
11.812.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 8.5
2186
#17
19.81.1
12.013.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned