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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5312801001502003556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +17
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
35Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.7
17.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
blue by 27.8
620
#2
51.73.6
46.442.7
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
Second
6326
#36
19.61.7
19.117.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 25.7
836
#5
45.33.6
39.335.7
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Third
9403
#18
19.11.7
22.220.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 3.4
2421
#31
22.53.6
24.721.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned