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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678905010015067119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+26
Endgame+34
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
7Coral scored#10
26Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
38Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points18
67Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#23
28.20.5
27.327.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
blue by 22.7
50.91.5
34.536.1
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
Second
2421
#31
22.50.5
21.822.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 19.2
41.81.7
27.629.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
Third
11.20.5
8.38.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 6.5
4472
#16
17.71.5
12.714.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned