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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557302040801001207561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
57Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
75Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#14
38.30.9
28.329.3
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
red by 4.0
34.30.9
26.125.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Second
1446
#27
16.30.9
12.713.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
blue by 6.6
3793
#24
22.90.9
18.717.8
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Third
4464
#28
11.60.9
11.912.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 8.1
6326
#36
19.61.0
21.120.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed