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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87410501001508950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
65Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
2Foul points0
89Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#15
45.90.8
45.446.2
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
red by 20.5
2914
#35
25.40.3
12.012.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Second
611
#9
27.50.8
15.916.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 2.8
24.70.3
21.421.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
Third
2186
#17
19.80.8
14.315.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
red by 7.9
2068
#29
11.90.3
12.612.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed