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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8062020401001201401606028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
60Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#19
42.90.5
41.741.2
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
red by 23.2
6326
#36
19.61.8
17.315.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
Second
4472
#16
17.70.5
17.116.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
red by 1.0
2963
#13
16.71.8
19.717.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
2068
#29
11.90.5
8.68.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 2.8
9684
#37
14.72.4
17.715.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed