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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8756204010012014016011462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
22Coral scored#11
79Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
101Total teleop51
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#2
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
114Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#9
27.51.1
25.826.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 4.6
3793
#24
22.90.5
24.023.5
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Second
1885
#34
27.21.1
24.825.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 16.0
6882
#26
11.20.5
13.112.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Third
612
#11
20.61.1
20.521.7
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 9.4
11.20.5
11.811.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed