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Qual 642025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red118
68638.3
374840.9
236334.3
Blue60
940319.1
242122.5
558711.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12454010015011860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
15Coral scored#9
53Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
81Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
118Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#3
40.90.4
40.3→40.7
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 18.3
2421
#31
22.50.3
24.1→23.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Second
686
#14
38.30.4
34.5→34.9
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
red by 19.2
9403
#18
19.10.3
20.4→20.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
2363
#8
34.30.4
31.4→31.8
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
red by 23.1
5587
#33
11.30.3
14.1→13.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed