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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877805010015010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
12Coral scored#4
42Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
60Total teleop19
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
105Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.92.1
47.249.3
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 20.4
9033
#12
30.50.9
30.329.4
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
Second
2186
#17
19.82.1
15.117.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
blue by 7.4
1885
#34
27.20.9
25.925.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Third
11.22.1
11.213.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
red by 3.6
2988
#32
7.50.9
8.47.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned