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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72632040801001201407049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
29Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points0
70Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.2
39.139.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
red by 21.1
612
#11
20.60.6
21.721.1
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
2963
#13
16.70.2
17.918.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 3.4
3714
#22
20.00.6
20.820.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
2068
#29
11.90.2
8.18.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 7.7
6326
#36
19.60.6
15.514.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed