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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140695010020025014343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+76Teleop
+100Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +58
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points21
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
18Processor points6
8Net points0
26Algae points6
85Total teleop27
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#10
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points0
143Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.4
52.352.8
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 22.7
1389
#23
28.20.6
29.428.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Second
9072
#15
45.90.4
47.347.8
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
red by 25.3
612
#11
20.60.6
21.821.2
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Third
2421
#31
22.50.4
24.024.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
red by 4.9
4472
#16
17.70.6
18.918.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0