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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711142040608010014016018062137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+75
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +19
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points22
12Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +56
7Coral scored#18
26Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
44Total teleop100
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
62Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5549
#21
25.41.3
26.725.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
blue by 15.5
40.91.3
40.742.0
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Second
3793
#24
22.91.3
24.222.9
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
blue by 5.3
1389
#23
28.21.3
28.129.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Third
4464
#28
11.61.3
12.911.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 15.6
1885
#34
27.21.3
25.026.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsMissed